Sunday, August 22, 2010

Do Republicans make up their own statistics and polls, specifically for this election?

I have witnessed on many occasions, Republicans claiming that McCain will win the election by a landslide in Nov. I am just curious to know why are Republicans so confident that McCain will win the election?

Do Republicans make up their own statistics and polls, specifically for this election?
McCain will win because of the two pseudo-Marxist Democrats tearing each other apart, while he gets to run around and promote his American ideas.
Reply:Polls, for the most part, are flawed by design. Since the person doing the polling has free reign in choosing "who" they poll there is no way to ensure that they are unbiased.





For this reason I don't trust polls. For every poll you can find to support one opinion I can find one to refute it. Knowing all that, it's fair to say that anyone citing a poll is either:





1) full of it.





2) trying to sway opinion in their favor.





And for what it's worth, Republicans don't have the market cornered on quoting polls. One could ask:





"Do Democrats make up their own statistics and polls, specifically for this election? I have witnessed it on many occasions, Democrats claiming that Obama/Hillary will win the election by a landslide in Nov. I am just curious to know why are democrats so confident that Obama/Hillary will win the election?"





See what I did there? Doesn't make any less sense in the context of your question than the one you presented. Both sides do the exact same thing, it's the individuals bias to say one side is able to and the other isn't.
Reply:You don't really have to make 'em up - if you look hard enough, you can find a statistic that says - or can be twisted to say - what you want.





Take the instance you're talking about. Recent polls /do/ show McCain winning the general election. This is because the two democratic contenders are going negative on eachother. That's bringing them both down in the polls.





Meanwhile, there's very little negative campaigning being directed at McCain, at the moment, because there's no need to beat him, right now. He's effectively unopposed for the Rep nomination, so no one in his party is trying to beat him. And, both Dems are much more concerned with beating eachother.





Thus, he's doing well in the polls because people don't have a fresh negative image (or, possibly even no image at all) of him in thier minds when the pollster calls.





Once the Dem nominee is apointed by the DNC's superdelegates, that will change. Consider the kind of money Barrack and Hillary are raking in from those who want to own a piece of the next president. When tens of millions of dollars a month are being spent to go negative on McCain, his poll numbers will resemble Bush's.
Reply:I am an Independent but I would say it is due to the fact that there is serious division and hard feelings between the Democrats. Many of those Democrats claim that they will not vote for the other candidate if their choice does not win. It will not be a landslide, but if only a fraction of those who say this turn out to be true then the Republicans stand to win this election.





Nobody has a crystal ball to see the future and if the Democrats will be able to mend fences and join together against the Republicans but things don't look so good at the moment.
Reply:I'm not confident he will win, but Hillary and Obama have uncovered so much crap on each other that neither one has the huge following that they started with, I see this here on YA. While McCain isn't squeaky clean I think he will have fewer possible exploitable problems and he is liked by quite a few democrats that may be disappointed in their choices. As for polls, who knows?
Reply:no, I never seen that but I had seen Many Liberals done that.





Liberals love to use their IMAGINATION as FACTs.





Example:


"Kerry will win in a Landslide."


"War for Oil"


"Bush Lied, people Died."
Reply:because obama and hillary are doing a fantastic job of splitting their party. and for most thinking people ,the thought of obama or hillary is unconscionable.
Reply:He is the least worst candidate. While the two stooges beat each other up for the next couple of months McCain will be looking Presidential.
Reply:No, they make up their own statistics and polls all the time, not just for this election.
Reply:I suspect they are relying on independents to save them. Polls have very little value, especially this early in the game.
Reply:Well, in actual polls it would be a pretty close race.
Reply:for some reason americans believe poll numbers, and never question their validaty or where they come from
Reply:Yep, polls can be bought


No comments:

Post a Comment